Industry White Paper

The Forecourt Blind Spot

Corner Collective

BP launched retail media across 8,500 US locations in 2025. UK fuel retailers are sitting on an equivalent opportunity generating zero revenue today. Here's what changes — and how quickly.

8,500
US locations BP activated through Axonet RMN in 2025 — the UK equivalent doesn't exist yet
£4.8B
UK retail media spend expected in 2026 — with near-zero flowing to fuel retailers
10x
Higher redemption rate for digital vs paper coupons — the forecourt has neither
· cornercollective.net ·
Executive Summary

What every Head of Digital, Commercial Director, and CEO at a UK fuel retailer needs to know

01
The US market went live in 2025

The US convenience and fuel retail media market went live in 2025. BP, Parker's Kitchen, and EG America all joined the Axonet RMN in the same year. UK fuel retailers have zero equivalent infrastructure today.

02
Highest-frequency retail environment

The forecourt is the highest-frequency retail environment in the UK. Shoppers visit 3-5x per week on average. Impulse purchase rates exceed any comparable channel. This is exactly the data FMCG brands cannot currently access.

03
Active UK engagement underway

Corner Collective has an active working engagement with a UK fuel retailer with 1,000+ stations to build this exact model. The infrastructure is assembled. The FMCG demand is confirmed. The first-mover advantage is real and time-limited.

Section 01 · The Context

The US Just Proved It Works. The UK Is 18 Months Behind.

In August 2025, BP made a strategic announcement that received relatively little attention in the UK press: its US retail division — covering Amoco, Thorntons, ampm, and TravelCenters of America — joined the Axonet Retail Media Network across all 8,500+ US locations. Through BP's Earnify loyalty programme, CPG brands could now run targeted, measurable, in-store media campaigns reaching convenience shoppers at the exact moment of purchase. Manufacturer-funded digital coupons became redeemable at store level with no back-office setup required.

This wasn't BP building a retail media division from scratch. It was a structured infrastructure partnership: Axonet provided the CDP, data aggregation layer, DSP connectivity, and CPG sales relationships. BP provided the physical footprint, loyalty data, and retailer relationship. Together, they opened a revenue channel that hadn't existed six months earlier.

BP × Axonet: The US Playbook (August 2025)

Working with Axonet accelerates and enhances our ability to deliver relevant content and meaningful in-store offers to our guests, which will in turn drive higher loyalty engagement and strong returns for advertisers.
Joe Fumo, Head of Digital Enablement, BP US Mobility & Convenience
8,500+
US locations activated across Amoco, Thorntons, ampm, TravelCenters of America
Q3 2025
Launch date for live CPG campaigns via Earnify loyalty programme
Allure
National digital coupon network — store-level redemption, no back-office needed
£0
Build cost to BP — all infrastructure provided by partnership

BP is not the only US fuel retailer that moved in 2025. EG America — which operates 1,500+ US c-store locations — and Parker's Kitchen also joined Axonet in the same period. The US convenience retail media category went from experimental to operational in a single year.

UK fuel retailers are currently positioned where US retailers were in late 2024: aware of the opportunity, without the infrastructure to activate it. The question isn't whether this model will reach the UK — it's who builds it first and captures the first-mover FMCG budget allocation.

Why the Forecourt Is the Ideal Retail Media Environment

The conventional wisdom is that retail media requires large-scale grocery loyalty programmes and weekly basket-size transactions. The evidence suggests the opposite: the highest-value retail media environments are those with the highest visit frequency, the clearest purchase intent, and the most decisive shopper behaviour. The UK forecourt ticks every box.

3-5x
Weekly visits vs. 1x for supermarkets. More touch points per shopper per week.
ACS Local Shop Report 2025
62%
Convenience purchases are same-day consumption — the definition of high-intent shopper
IGD UK Convenience 2025
71%
Of convenience shoppers discover new products in-store — highest trial rate in grocery
ACS 2025
0%
Of UK fuel retailers currently monetising their shopper data through retail media
Market analysis, 2026
The Forecourt Advantage

The Forecourt Has Something Supermarkets Can't Replicate: Dwell Time in a Captive Environment

A shopper filling up at a forecourt will spend 4-8 minutes at the pump — looking at a screen they can't navigate away from. A shopper in a convenience store attached to the forecourt will spend a further 2-4 minutes making largely impulse decisions. This is 6-12 minutes of captive, high-intent attention that FMCG brands currently have no structured way to buy.

Digital signage at pump

Targeted DOOH content displayed during the 4-8 minute fill-up window — captive attention in a purchase-ready environment.

Loyalty app push notifications

Pre-visit targeting based on purchase history and depletion prediction — reaching shoppers before they arrive.

Post-visit remarketing

Email and app-based follow-up campaigns driven by verified purchase data and consumption patterns.

Section 02 · The Commercial Model

Revenue Streams Available to a UK Fuel Retailer Today

The retail media stack for a fuel retailer with a loyalty programme and convenience store estate looks different from a pure grocery play. The forecourt creates multiple distinct media moments — pre-visit (app push/offsite targeting), at-pump (DOOH screens), in-store (digital shelf, display), and post-visit (email/loyalty app). Each represents a separately billable inventory line for FMCG brands.

Revenue Opportunity Stack
LayerRevenue RangeDescription
01 · Offsite DSP£150K-850KLoyalty members targeted offsite via The Trade Desk / DV360 before they visit. CPM: £8-18. Attribution: verified in-store redemption.
02 · At-Pump Screens£80K-400KTargeted DOOH at pump touchscreen. CPM: £12-25 (data-enriched vs £3-5 generic DOOH). Brands pay for audience, not just eyeballs.
03 · In-Store Media£60K-280KDigital shelf labels, screen sponsorships, sponsored category end-caps. Sold against verified purchase audience data.
04 · Digital Coupons£40K-200KManufacturer-funded offers targeted by purchase history. 10x redemption vs paper. Clearing fee revenue per redemption.
05 · Data Products£30K-150KAudience segment licensing to CPG category planners. Forecourt audience uniquely defined: high-frequency, impulse-led.
Revenue Forecast by Scenario
Revenue StreamConservative (500 sites)Base Case (1,000 sites)Upside (2,000 sites + AI)
Offsite£150K£450K£1.1M
Screens£80K£250K£600K
Coupons£40K£140K£400K
In-Store£60K£180K£700K
Data£30K£80K£400K
Total£360K£1.1M£3.2M

Revenue share model: Corner Collective provides all infrastructure. Retailer receives 60-70% gross revenue share. Zero capital expenditure or headcount required. Integration: 8-12 weeks. Benchmarks: IAB UK RMN CPM data 2025, Axonet/Inmar published case studies.

Section 03 · The Technology Moat

AI Consumption Intelligence: Why Forecourt Data Is Worth More Than You Think

Every fuel retailer with a loyalty programme is generating transaction data. Every transaction — the energy drink bought at 7am, the sandwich at 1pm, the multipack at 4pm — carries a behavioural signal that is unusually clean and unusually high-frequency compared to a weekly grocery shop. Corner Collective's AI Consumption Intelligence layer transforms this signal into something FMCG brands will pay significant CPM premiums for: depletion prediction at the individual shopper level.

How Consumption Intelligence Works

01
Purchase pattern analysis

AI ingests loyalty transaction history. Learns individual replenishment cycles per category per shopper.

02
Depletion prediction

Calculates "in-market windows" — the 7-day period before a shopper will next buy a product. Segments update in real-time.

03
Life stage detection

Sudden shifts in purchase patterns reveal new babies, dietary changes, household events — real-time audience signals brands activate on immediately.

04
DRS confirmation signal (2027+)

Deposit Return Scheme return events confirm depletion deterministically. First UK retailer to combine purchase + return data owns the most precise targeting model in UK grocery.

CPM by Targeting Type

Generic DOOH (untargeted)
£3-5
Standard RMN audience segment
£6-10
Consumption Intelligence timed segment
£8-15
DRS-confirmed depletion + purchase
£15-25

Patent pending. IAB UK CPM benchmarks 2025.

Section 04 · Timeline to Revenue

From Sign-Off to First Campaign in 90 Days

Week 1-4 · Commercial
Partnership Agreement & Technical Scoping

Revenue share model agreed. ePOS data feed architecture confirmed. Loyalty programme integration scoped. Corner Collective begins CDP configuration.

Week 4-8 · Technical
Integration & Identity Layer Build

ePOS data pipeline live. Shopper identity resolution processing begins. First audience segments built and validated against transaction data. DSP connections established.

Week 8-12 · Commercial
FMCG Campaign Pipeline Activation

Publicis Groupe and Zenith International (existing LOI holders) briefed on network availability. Category-specific campaigns scoped. First campaign RFPs received from FMCG brands.

Week 10-14 · Live
First Campaigns Live. First Revenue.

Initial campaigns running across offsite programmatic. Attribution reporting live. Revenue share payments begin. Anchor case study built for FMCG category expansion.

Month 6-12 · Scale
Full Stack Activation

At-pump screen inventory monetised. Digital coupon clearing live. Data products launched to CPG planners. AI Consumption Intelligence model trained on full transaction dataset.

The challenge is no matter what your scale — even as big as we are — we are not large enough to match what a Walmart or Amazon can do with their retail media networks. What the industry is seeing is more coalitions or co-ops coming together.
BP Retail Media Director, Path to Purchase Institute, November 2025. This is precisely the coalition Corner Collective is building for UK fuel retail.
Next Step

The US Playbook Is Proven. Let's Build the UK Version.

We're already in active working sessions with a named UK fuel retailer (1,000+ stations). Book 45 minutes to see the exact commercial model, integration timeline, and FMCG demand pipeline for your estate.

Book a Forecourt Media Session
fuel retailforecourtsretail mediaFMCGDOOHconsumption intelligence

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The Forecourt Blind Spot | Corner Collective